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With many countries brought into the picture, it will generally be beneficial to engage in triangular or multilateral trade with many other countries. Bilateral trade between two countries is generally unbalanced.
Consider the simple example of triangular trade flows presented. America buys consumer electronics from Japan, Japan buys oil and primary commodities from developing countries, and developing countries buy machinery from America. In reality, trade patterns are even more complex than this triangular example.
This multilateral nature of trade shows the fallacy in arguments that focus on the bilateral balance between particular countries. In recent years, the large bilateral trade imbalance between the United States and Japan has fueled protectionist sentiment. On many occasions over the last two decades, the United States has threatened to impose trade sanctions on Japan. But the bilateral balance by itself has no economic significance. Even countries that have a zero current account balance will run surpluses with some countries and deficits with others. Trade would be sharply curbed; imports would balance exports, but at the level of whichever was the smaller. The gains from trade would be secretly reduced.
Consider the simple example of triangular trade flows presented. America buys consumer electronics from Japan, Japan buys oil and primary commodities from developing countries, and developing countries buy machinery from America. In reality, trade patterns are even more complex than this triangular example.
This multilateral nature of trade shows the fallacy in arguments that focus on the bilateral balance between particular countries. In recent years, the large bilateral trade imbalance between the United States and Japan has fueled protectionist sentiment. On many occasions over the last two decades, the United States has threatened to impose trade sanctions on Japan. But the bilateral balance by itself has no economic significance. Even countries that have a zero current account balance will run surpluses with some countries and deficits with others. Trade would be sharply curbed; imports would balance exports, but at the level of whichever was the smaller. The gains from trade would be secretly reduced.
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